{"id":4788,"date":"2021-08-17T10:37:24","date_gmt":"2021-08-17T07:37:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.magder.org\/?p=4788"},"modified":"2021-08-17T10:43:54","modified_gmt":"2021-08-17T07:43:54","slug":"17-agustos-1999-depremini-unutma-unutturma-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/?p=4788","title":{"rendered":"17 A\u011eUSTOS 1999 DEPREM\u0130 O\u011eUZ G\u00dcNDO\u011eDU"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Jeofizik uzman\u0131 O\u011fuz G\u00fcndo\u011fdu: 1999 depremi en az 7.6\u2019yd\u0131, I\u015f\u0131kara ‘7.4 tamam’ diyerek bunu ilan etti<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130stanbul \u00dcniversitesi’nden emekli jeofizik uzman\u0131 Dr. O\u011fuz G\u00fcndo\u011fdu, 1999\u2019daki G\u00f6lc\u00fck Depremi’nin en az 7.6 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde oldu\u011funu savundu, \u201cI\u015f\u0131kara ‘7.4 tamam’ diyerek bunu ilan etti\u201d dedi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130stanbul \u00dcniversitesi’nden emekli jeofizik uzman\u0131 Dr. O\u011fuz G\u00fcndo\u011fdu, 17 A\u011fustos depreminin 22’nci y\u0131ld\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnde beklenen olas\u0131 \u0130stanbul Depremi’ne ili\u015fkin sorular\u0131 yan\u0131tlad\u0131. Dr. G\u00fcndo\u011fdu, 22 y\u0131l \u00f6nceki literat\u00fcrlere 7.4 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ge\u00e7en depremin kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131n aksine, en az 7.6 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Jeofizik uzman\u0131 Dr. O\u011fuz G\u00fcndo\u011fdu, “Ben 7.4’\u00fcn nas\u0131l saptand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyorum” derken \u015funlar\u0131 anlatt\u0131:<\/p>\n

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“ANLATIRKEN S\u0130N\u0130RDEN ELLER\u0130 T\u0130TR\u0130YORDU”<\/strong><\/p>\n

“D\u00f6nemin Kandilli Rasathanesi M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Prof.Dr. Ahmet Mete I\u015f\u0131kara deprem olunca \u00e7ok iyi jeolog-jeofizik\u00e7i Ali Esen Arpat ile halen Bo\u011fazi\u00e7i \u00dcniversitesi Kandilli Rasathanesi Deprem Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc Ulusal Deprem \u0130zleme Merkezi M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Dr. Do\u011fan Kalafat’\u0131 araziye g\u00f6nderdi. Fay\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 90 kilometre falan oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rd\u00fcler. Halbuki fay\u0131n boyu 90 kilometreden fazla. Bunu Kandilli’nin ba\u015fkan\u0131 Prof.Dr. Ahmet Mete I\u015f\u0131kara’ya bildirdiler. USGS (ABD Jeoloji Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Kurumu) G\u00f6lc\u00fck Depremi’ni 7.8 verdi. Ahmet Mete I\u015f\u0131kara, ‘7.4 iyidir’ demi\u015f. Bunu bir toplant\u0131 i\u00e7in Ankara’ya birlikte gitti\u011fimiz Jeolog Ali Esen Arpat’tan yolda dinledim. Bunu anlat\u0131rken sinirden elleri titriyordu. Sonunda I\u015f\u0131kara ‘7.4 tamam’ diyerek bunu ilan etti. Bunun hi\u00e7bir kayd\u0131 yok. Deprem \u00e7ok yak\u0131nda oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in b\u00fct\u00fcn kay\u0131tlar simsiyah. USGS, uzaktaki b\u00fct\u00fcn depremleri tespit eder. Ben de moment b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden hesaplad\u0131m. 7.6’dan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 indiremiyorum; 7.4’e inmiyor. Bu deprem 7.6’dan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck de\u011fil. 17 bin ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmi\u015f. 100 bin evin yeniden yapmak zorunlulu\u011fu \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ancak, 7.6 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki deprem b\u00f6yle bir \u015feyi kar\u015f\u0131lar. Bu i\u015fle ilgilenenler hemen fark etti. Araziye gitmi\u015ftik, fay\u0131n boyutunu falan \u00f6l\u00e7t\u00fck. Fay\u0131n boyundan hesaplayarak moment b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc 7.6’dan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kartamad\u0131m. 7.4 ile bu hasar beklenmez. 12 Kas\u0131m’da 7.2 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde D\u00fczce depremi oldu. Ka\u00e7 can kayb\u0131 \u00e7ok az. Oysa 17 A\u011fustos’ta 17 bin ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. Bu bilinen rakam, daha fazla da olabilir.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1999 G\u00d6LC\u00dcK DEPREM\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kuzey Anadolu Fay Hatt\u0131’n\u0131n bat\u0131 b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde meydana gelen deprem, 17 A\u011fustos 1999 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc saat 03:01’de ba\u015flad\u0131 ve 45 saniye s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Resm\u00ee raporlara g\u00f6re 17.480 \u00f6l\u00fcm, 23.781 yaralanma oldu. 505 ki\u015fi sakat kald\u0131. 285.211 ev, 42.902 i\u015f yeri hasar g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de Richter \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011fine g\u00f6re ABD Jeolojik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi (USGS) taraf\u0131ndan 7.6; Bo\u011fazi\u00e7i \u00dcniversitesi Kandilli Rasathanesi taraf\u0131ndan ise 7.8 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Ancak depremin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, ilk yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda 7.4 olarak duyuruldu\u011fu i\u00e7in bug\u00fcn halen 7.4 olarak biliniyor.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

“BEKLED\u0130\u011e\u0130M\u0130Z DEPREM 7’N\u0130N \u00dcZER\u0130NDE”<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dr. O\u011fuz G\u00fcndo\u011fdu, Marmara Denizi’nde 3-4 y\u0131l \u00f6nce hareketlenme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, bunun “Tetiklenme” olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n kendilerine soruldu\u011funu belirtti. G\u00fcndo\u011fdu, “17 A\u011fustos’ta Marmara’daki Kuzey Anadolu Fay\u0131’n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn par\u00e7alar\u0131 tetiklendi. \u015eu anda hepsi deprem \u00fcretme kapasitesine sahipler. \u0130zmir’deki Sisam 6.9 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki deprem ile birlikte faylanma ile birden bire harekete ge\u00e7ti. \u0130zmir koyunda. Bir tek \u0130zmir fay\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7medi. \u0130zmir’de b\u00fcy\u00fck\u00e7e bir hasar verecek deprem bekliyorum. \u0130zmir \u00e7evresinde \u00e7ok fay var. Hala da depremler devam ediyor. 100’\u00fc Dat\u00e7a civar\u0131nda 200’\u00fc a\u015fk\u0131n deprem var. Bunlar\u0131n hepsi \u0130zmir-Sisam depreminin tetiklendi\u011fi faylarda oldu. Ku\u015fadas\u0131’nda 7.1’e kadar ula\u015fan deprem oldu. Bunlar tetiklenme olay\u0131n\u0131n \u0130zmir, Sisam’da meydana gelen aktiviteden sonra oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Marmara’da da b\u00fct\u00fcn faylar tetiklenmi\u015f durumda. Bekledi\u011fimiz deprem 7’nin \u00fczerinde. 7.5- 7.2 olur ba\u015fka mesele. Bu 7’lik deprem b\u00fct\u00fcn faylardaki enerjiyi tekrar a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131karacak. Onun i\u00e7in herkes bitti\u011fi sand\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada oras\u0131, buras\u0131, \u015eark\u00f6y bilmem neresi hepsi deprem \u00fcretmeye ba\u015flayacaklar. Bu b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehlike. \u0130stanbul’daki yap\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz zaman 99’dan itibaren yap\u0131lan yap\u0131lara ‘Eh’ bir par\u00e7a. Ama \u0130stanbul’un 1999’dan \u00f6nce yap\u0131lan \u00e7ok binas\u0131 var. Hepsini depreme kar\u015f\u0131 dayan\u0131kl\u0131 hale getirmemiz laz\u0131m. \u0130stanbul’da 7’yi a\u015fan deprem felakete neden olur. Bu ne yang\u0131n, ne sele benzer. Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u015fey son derece k\u00f6t\u00fc olacak. \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm; yap\u0131lar\u0131 depreme dayan\u0131kl\u0131 hale getirmek. Bunu yapabilmek i\u00e7in devlet ve b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehirin el ele vermesi gerek” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Dr. G\u00fcndo\u011fdu, 1999’dan sonra ge\u00e7en 22 y\u0131ldaki durumun ne oldu\u011fu sorulunca, “Saat \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Geri getirmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Enerji birikiyor. Kuzey Marmara’daki hareket devam ediyor. Bu hareket sonunda enerji birikiyor. G\u00fcn ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir enerji ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z anlam\u0131na gelir” yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verdi.<\/p>\n

HABER B\u0130R G\u00dcN GAZETES\u0130<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeofizik uzman\u0131 O\u011fuz G\u00fcndo\u011fdu: 1999 depremi en az 7.6\u2019yd\u0131, I\u015f\u0131kara ‘7.4 tamam’ diyerek bunu ilan etti \u0130stanbul \u00dcniversitesi’nden emekli jeofizik uzman\u0131 Dr. O\u011fuz G\u00fcndo\u011fdu, 1999\u2019daki G\u00f6lc\u00fck Depremi’nin en az 7.6 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde oldu\u011funu savundu, \u201cI\u015f\u0131kara ‘7.4 tamam’ diyerek bunu ilan etti\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4788","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-genel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4788","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4788"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4788\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4793,"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4788\/revisions\/4793"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4788"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4788"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zeytinburnumag.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4788"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}